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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+5.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+3.86vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+6.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.48+5.76vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+2.28vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.90-1.05vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.95vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-3.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-1.85vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.16vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.79-3.89vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.13-1.62vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.55-10.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71Bowdoin College1.848.9%1st Place
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5.86Brown University1.9910.5%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University1.183.4%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.409.5%1st Place
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10.76University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.8%1st Place
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6.95Harvard University1.909.0%1st Place
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6.05Roger Williams University1.978.5%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College2.108.4%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University0.932.9%1st Place
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10.84Boston University0.372.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island0.793.9%1st Place
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12.38Connecticut College-0.130.9%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.5517.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 16.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 40.6% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.6% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.