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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.02+2.10vs Predicted
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2Brandeis University0.79+3.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.06+0.08vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.96-0.79vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.48-2.46vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.69-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.21-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-3.15-0.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Tufts University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.0Brandeis University0.790.1%1st Place
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3.08Brown University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.21Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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2.54Northeastern University2.480.3%1st Place
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5.03Bates College0.690.0%1st Place
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6.15University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.88University of New Hampshire-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Shaw | 18.9% | 20.4% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Helaine Meyer | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 30.3% | 16.6% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Serra | 20.6% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 17.7% | 19.8% | 19.7% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 7.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 30.3% | 26.3% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Helen Chyz | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 29.0% | 18.6% | 0.9% |
| Catherine Stavola | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 56.4% | 4.2% |
| Molly Goelzer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 93.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.