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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.78vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+4.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+2.73vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+4.95vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.84+1.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+0.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.55-2.78vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-1.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+0.07vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-4.17vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48-0.42vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.37-1.33vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-4.22vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-2.44vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Brown University1.9910.2%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.0%1st Place
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5.73Boston College2.4011.3%1st Place
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8.95Northeastern University1.184.0%1st Place
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6.62Bowdoin College1.848.0%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University1.908.4%1st Place
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4.22Yale University2.5517.2%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.107.8%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.3%1st Place
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5.83Roger Williams University1.9710.2%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
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10.67Boston University0.371.8%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University0.934.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island0.121.6%1st Place
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12.18Connecticut College-0.131.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 14.8% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.4% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 24.1% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.