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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.06+2.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.96+1.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.02+0.13vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.48-1.48vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.79-0.05vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.69-0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.21-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-3.15-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Brown University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.27Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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3.13Tufts University2.020.2%1st Place
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2.52Northeastern University2.480.3%1st Place
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4.95Brandeis University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.04Bates College0.690.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.9University of New Hampshire-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Serra | 20.9% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Philip Koch | 16.7% | 19.2% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Shaw | 19.9% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 29.8% | 25.9% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Helaine Meyer | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 22.5% | 28.8% | 15.9% | 0.7% |
| Helen Chyz | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 29.4% | 18.8% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Stavola | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 17.3% | 56.6% | 4.5% |
| Molly Goelzer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 93.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.