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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.25vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+4.68vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.12+7.56vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+3.96vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.40-0.29vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84-0.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-2.15vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93+0.01vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-1.05vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.37-0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.40vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.99-7.26vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.90-7.32vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Yale University2.5518.2%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College2.108.6%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.3%1st Place
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11.56University of Rhode Island0.121.7%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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5.71Boston College2.409.9%1st Place
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6.7Bowdoin College1.847.3%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University1.9710.2%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.004.7%1st Place
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10.4Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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5.74Brown University1.9910.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University1.908.0%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College-0.130.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 18.2% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 23.8% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Laura Slovensky | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 13.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.