← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College1.96+2.17vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.48+0.51vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.02+0.13vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.06-0.88vs Predicted
-
5Brandeis University0.79-0.04vs Predicted
-
6Bates College0.69-0.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-0.21-0.83vs Predicted
-
8University of New Hampshire-3.15-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
-
2.51Northeastern University2.480.3%1st Place
-
3.13Tufts University2.020.2%1st Place
-
3.12Brown University2.060.2%1st Place
-
4.96Brandeis University0.790.0%1st Place
-
5.04Bates College0.690.0%1st Place
-
6.17University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of New Hampshire-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Koch | 18.9% | 20.4% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Becker Awqatty | 29.6% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Shaw | 19.8% | 19.2% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Serra | 19.3% | 21.3% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Helaine Meyer | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 28.9% | 15.8% | 0.7% |
| Helen Chyz | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 20.1% | 28.8% | 18.7% | 1.0% |
| Catherine Stavola | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 17.9% | 56.4% | 4.5% |
| Molly Goelzer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 4.3% | 93.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.