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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.48+1.49vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.69+3.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.06+0.07vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.02-0.90vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University0.79-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.21+0.13vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.96-3.73vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-3.15-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Northeastern University2.480.3%1st Place
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5.09Bates College0.690.1%1st Place
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3.07Brown University2.060.2%1st Place
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3.1Tufts University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.96Brandeis University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.13University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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3.27Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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7.9University of New Hampshire-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becker Awqatty | 32.4% | 24.4% | 19.2% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Helen Chyz | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 20.1% | 30.9% | 18.9% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Serra | 18.8% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Shaw | 19.4% | 20.0% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 14.0% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Helaine Meyer | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 21.8% | 27.1% | 18.2% | 0.3% |
| Catherine Stavola | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 19.2% | 54.2% | 4.0% |
| Philip Koch | 17.4% | 18.3% | 21.4% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Molly Goelzer | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 94.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.