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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.40+4.84vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.55+2.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+6.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+6.57vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+4.06vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99-0.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.14vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-1.43vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.37+1.41vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-3.33vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-5.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.12-1.37vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.90-7.33vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Boston College2.4011.2%1st Place
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4.14Yale University2.5517.8%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.003.5%1st Place
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10.57University of Vermont0.483.0%1st Place
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9.06Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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5.79Brown University1.9911.2%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.3%1st Place
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6.57Bowdoin College1.848.5%1st Place
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10.41Boston University0.372.6%1st Place
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6.67Dartmouth College2.107.4%1st Place
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5.91Roger Williams University1.979.8%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University0.933.9%1st Place
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11.63University of Rhode Island0.121.2%1st Place
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6.67Harvard University1.908.0%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.8% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Slovensky | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 13.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 11.9% |
| Sarah Young | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 25.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.