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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+4.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.40+4.11vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+5.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.55+0.35vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.87vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.90+0.96vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84-0.27vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.71-1.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93+0.27vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.72vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-4.94vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-1.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.79-3.84vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-3.27vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Brown University1.9910.7%1st Place
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6.11Boston College2.409.1%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.184.7%1st Place
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4.35Yale University2.5518.5%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University1.907.2%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College1.847.0%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College1.7110.1%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University1.9710.2%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island0.793.2%1st Place
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10.73Boston University0.372.4%1st Place
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12.35Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.5% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| bella casaretto | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 16.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.5% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.