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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.96+2.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.02+1.15vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.48-0.48vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.69+1.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.06-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-0.21+0.10vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.79-2.03vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-3.15-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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3.15Tufts University2.020.2%1st Place
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2.52Northeastern University2.480.3%1st Place
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5.1Bates College0.690.0%1st Place
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3.09Brown University2.060.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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4.97Brandeis University0.790.1%1st Place
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7.9University of New Hampshire-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Koch | 19.7% | 18.3% | 20.8% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Shaw | 18.6% | 19.6% | 20.8% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 31.4% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Helen Chyz | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 29.6% | 20.1% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Serra | 18.4% | 22.3% | 19.5% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Stavola | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 21.7% | 51.2% | 4.0% |
| Helaine Meyer | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 21.2% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 0.7% |
| Molly Goelzer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 94.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.