← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.48+9.87vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.31vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.37+7.73vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College1.71+2.36vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.40+1.05vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.85vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.18+2.09vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University1.90-1.09vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.84-2.09vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island0.79-0.90vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.97-5.02vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.99-6.13vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.46vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.93-4.90vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College-0.13-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.87University of Vermont0.482.0%1st Place
-
4.31Yale University2.5518.4%1st Place
-
10.73Boston University0.372.5%1st Place
-
6.36Dartmouth College1.718.8%1st Place
-
6.05Boston College2.4010.1%1st Place
-
6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.3%1st Place
-
9.09Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
-
6.91Harvard University1.906.8%1st Place
-
6.91Bowdoin College1.847.6%1st Place
-
9.1University of Rhode Island0.793.1%1st Place
-
5.98Roger Williams University1.9710.6%1st Place
-
5.87Brown University1.9910.0%1st Place
-
9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
-
9.1Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
-
12.31Connecticut College-0.131.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Commerford | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| bella casaretto | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 6.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.5% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.