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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.06+2.04vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.48+0.51vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.96+0.26vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.79+0.96vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.02-1.83vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.69-0.98vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.21-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-3.15-0.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Brown University2.060.2%1st Place
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2.51Northeastern University2.480.3%1st Place
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3.26Bowdoin College1.960.2%1st Place
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4.96Brandeis University0.790.0%1st Place
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3.17Tufts University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.02Bates College0.690.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Connecticut-0.210.0%1st Place
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7.89University of New Hampshire-3.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Serra | 21.1% | 21.3% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Becker Awqatty | 29.9% | 26.3% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Koch | 17.8% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Helaine Meyer | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 21.4% | 28.4% | 17.1% | 0.9% |
| Emily Shaw | 18.7% | 19.5% | 20.8% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Helen Chyz | 5.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 27.4% | 18.5% | 1.1% |
| Catherine Stavola | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 19.4% | 54.9% | 4.4% |
| Molly Goelzer | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 93.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.