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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.47+2.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85+2.73vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University0.95+1.41vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.40+1.24vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University0.85-0.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.25-2.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.97-4.32vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.13-0.60vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-3.00-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Brown University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.1%1st Place
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4.41Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.24Bates College0.400.1%1st Place
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4.48Northeastern University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.81Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
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2.68Tufts University1.970.3%1st Place
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7.4University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.72University of New Hampshire-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Kaufmann | 18.3% | 18.2% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Vernacchia | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 0.3% |
| Davida Judelson | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Wells | 6.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 26.2% | 9.7% | 0.8% |
| Janelle Veary | 9.9% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 6.4% | 0.4% |
| Isabel Low | 15.3% | 14.7% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Eliza White | 30.5% | 23.6% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 59.4% | 13.1% |
| Devon Walker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 10.3% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.