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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.00vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.90+4.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.32vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.71+2.36vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.80vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.84+0.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-1.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+1.35vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40-3.28vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.79-1.87vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.66-2.11vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.37-2.28vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-3.18vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.13-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Roger Williams University1.979.3%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University1.907.6%1st Place
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4.32Yale University2.5518.8%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College1.718.9%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.1%1st Place
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6.78Bowdoin College1.846.5%1st Place
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5.91Brown University1.9910.8%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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5.72Boston College2.4011.3%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island0.793.7%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University0.662.8%1st Place
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10.72Boston University0.372.0%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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12.24Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.8% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.