← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.71+5.49vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.48+8.79vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.40+2.91vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.84+2.76vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University1.90+0.74vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.97-0.93vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.55-3.67vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.99-3.11vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.18-0.88vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island0.79-1.82vs Predicted
-
12Boston University0.37-1.40vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College-0.13-0.81vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.66-4.27vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.49Dartmouth College1.718.6%1st Place
-
10.79University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
-
5.91Boston College2.4010.1%1st Place
-
6.76Bowdoin College1.848.1%1st Place
-
6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.0%1st Place
-
6.74Harvard University1.907.3%1st Place
-
6.07Roger Williams University1.979.7%1st Place
-
4.33Yale University2.5517.2%1st Place
-
5.89Brown University1.9911.2%1st Place
-
9.12Northeastern University1.183.7%1st Place
-
9.18University of Rhode Island0.793.8%1st Place
-
10.6Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
-
12.19Connecticut College-0.131.2%1st Place
-
9.73Tufts University0.662.9%1st Place
-
9.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 17.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.2% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Leah Rickard | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 37.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.