← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.47+2.48vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.97+0.80vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85+1.63vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.25-0.22vs Predicted
-
5Brandeis University0.95-0.71vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.85-1.48vs Predicted
-
7Bates College0.40-1.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut-1.13-0.60vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-3.00-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.48Brown University1.470.2%1st Place
-
2.8Tufts University1.970.3%1st Place
-
4.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.1%1st Place
-
3.78Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
-
4.29Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
-
4.52Northeastern University0.850.1%1st Place
-
5.37Bates College0.400.1%1st Place
-
7.4University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.72University of New Hampshire-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Kaufmann | 19.1% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Eliza White | 26.9% | 23.9% | 18.4% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Vernacchia | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Isabel Low | 15.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Davida Judelson | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Janelle Veary | 10.8% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Wells | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 25.0% | 11.1% | 1.2% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 10.6% | 60.2% | 12.8% |
| Devon Walker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 10.4% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.