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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.97+1.70vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.40+3.52vs Predicted
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3Brandeis University0.95+1.42vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.85+0.42vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-0.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.25-2.13vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.47-3.51vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.13-1.62vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-3.00-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Tufts University1.970.3%1st Place
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5.52Bates College0.400.0%1st Place
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4.42Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.42Northeastern University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.1%1st Place
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3.87Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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3.49Brown University1.470.2%1st Place
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7.38University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.71University of New Hampshire-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza White | 30.3% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 25.9% | 12.6% | 1.2% |
| Davida Judelson | 10.1% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Janelle Veary | 10.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Vernacchia | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 6.6% | 0.2% |
| Isabel Low | 14.0% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Kaufmann | 18.0% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 58.8% | 13.1% |
| Devon Walker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 10.1% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.