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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.64vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+2.29vs Predicted
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4Florida International University0.52+5.91vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77+2.84vs Predicted
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6Duke University0.06+4.35vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.10-2.44vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.58+4.99vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+3.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.90-2.53vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.41-2.42vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.21-5.05vs Predicted
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13The Citadel0.19-2.37vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.73-6.01vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-1.84-2.20vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.24-4.47vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.55-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of Miami2.3216.8%1st Place
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3.64College of Charleston2.4921.9%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University1.7811.6%1st Place
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9.91Florida International University0.521.9%1st Place
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7.84Florida State University0.774.3%1st Place
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10.35Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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4.56Jacksonville University2.1014.2%1st Place
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12.99Embry-Riddle University-0.581.2%1st Place
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12.11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.4%1st Place
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7.47University of South Florida0.905.1%1st Place
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8.58Rollins College0.414.1%1st Place
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6.95Eckerd College1.216.3%1st Place
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10.63The Citadel0.191.5%1st Place
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7.99Clemson University0.735.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Florida-1.840.9%1st Place
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11.53University of North Carolina-0.241.4%1st Place
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16.2University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.9% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.1% | 21.2% | 8.0% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 4.5% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Smith | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 6.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.