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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.64vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+2.65vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+2.28vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+0.21vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.21+1.93vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73+2.05vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.77+0.95vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.58+4.92vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.90-1.48vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.19+0.48vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52-1.30vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.41-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.24-2.38vs Predicted
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15University of Florida-1.84-2.25vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-2.55+0.12vs Predicted
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17Duke University0.06-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64College of Charleston2.4919.6%1st Place
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4.65Jacksonville University2.1013.0%1st Place
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5.28North Carolina State University1.7812.1%1st Place
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4.21University of Miami2.3216.1%1st Place
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6.93Eckerd College1.217.2%1st Place
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8.05Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
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7.95Florida State University0.774.7%1st Place
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12.92Embry-Riddle University-0.580.7%1st Place
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7.52University of South Florida0.906.2%1st Place
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10.48The Citadel0.192.3%1st Place
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9.7Florida International University0.523.5%1st Place
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8.52Rollins College0.413.4%1st Place
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12.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.3%1st Place
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11.62University of North Carolina-0.241.5%1st Place
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12.75University of Florida-1.840.8%1st Place
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16.12University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
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10.51Duke University0.062.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 19.6% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 6.6% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 3.8% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 4.0% |
| Marco Distel | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 19.9% | 7.3% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 75.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.