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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.97+1.72vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.47+1.64vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+0.88vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.95+0.28vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.40+0.20vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.85-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.13+0.42vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85-3.39vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-3.00-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Tufts University1.970.3%1st Place
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3.64Brown University1.470.1%1st Place
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3.88Bowdoin College1.250.2%1st Place
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4.28Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.2Bates College0.400.1%1st Place
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4.53Northeastern University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.1%1st Place
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8.72University of New Hampshire-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza White | 30.1% | 22.4% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Kaufmann | 14.4% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Low | 15.5% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Davida Judelson | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Wells | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 24.8% | 10.2% | 1.5% |
| Janelle Veary | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 62.2% | 11.8% |
| Matthew Vernacchia | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 7.0% | 0.4% |
| Devon Walker | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 9.1% | 85.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.