Race 9A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 18.8% 16.3% 17.5% 15.4% 11.5% 6.9% 6.6% 3.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Perkins 20.9% 20.5% 16.4% 13.1% 9.4% 8.7% 5.4% 2.7% 2.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Aswad 16.4% 13.7% 16.4% 11.4% 13.9% 10.8% 8.0% 4.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sam Millham 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 6.2% 6.8% 8.9% 8.3% 11.1% 12.4% 12.8% 12.1% 10.3%
Alden Winder 2.9% 4.5% 5.1% 5.2% 6.6% 8.3% 7.3% 10.3% 10.9% 13.8% 13.8% 11.3%
James Altreuter 9.8% 9.8% 8.5% 10.0% 11.4% 12.1% 12.8% 9.0% 7.5% 4.2% 4.3% 0.6%
Eric Schwarm 8.7% 10.0% 8.3% 11.4% 10.3% 9.9% 10.3% 10.7% 8.5% 6.9% 3.3% 1.7%
Charles Field 6.6% 6.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.7% 10.9% 10.5% 11.1% 10.2% 7.2% 3.9%
Christopher Edwards 2.8% 2.5% 4.1% 3.9% 5.5% 7.4% 9.2% 10.2% 11.5% 13.8% 16.3% 12.8%
Tevis Nichols 6.0% 7.5% 6.1% 9.1% 9.1% 9.3% 10.0% 11.2% 12.1% 9.1% 7.1% 3.4%
Tom Charpentier 2.7% 2.6% 2.7% 3.9% 4.9% 6.2% 6.9% 10.2% 10.8% 13.4% 17.0% 18.7%
Emerson Krock 1.3% 2.5% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.3% 6.0% 8.0% 12.9% 18.0% 37.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.