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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+2.70vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+2.29vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+7.38vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+3.86vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.21+1.96vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.90+1.42vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+1.70vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.78-2.64vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.10-4.47vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.24+1.64vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.19-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+0.02vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.73-5.21vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.58-1.10vs Predicted
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15Florida International University0.52-5.10vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-1.84-3.33vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.55-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7College of Charleston2.4921.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Miami2.3217.0%1st Place
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10.38Duke University0.062.2%1st Place
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7.86Florida State University0.774.0%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College1.217.0%1st Place
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7.42University of South Florida0.905.9%1st Place
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8.7Rollins College0.414.4%1st Place
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5.36North Carolina State University1.7810.4%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University2.1014.1%1st Place
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11.64University of North Carolina-0.241.1%1st Place
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10.71The Citadel0.192.2%1st Place
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12.02University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
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7.79Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
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12.9Embry-Riddle University-0.580.8%1st Place
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9.9Florida International University0.522.4%1st Place
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12.67University of Florida-1.840.9%1st Place
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16.16University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 21.2% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.0% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Smith | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larson | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.1% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 2.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.4% | 3.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 21.1% | 8.3% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Marco Distel | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 22.2% | 6.0% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.