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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+4.40vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+2.22vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+4.96vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.41+4.54vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.49-1.30vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.90+0.45vs Predicted
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8Florida International University0.52+1.97vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.73-1.10vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.21-3.26vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.58+1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.84+0.87vs Predicted
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13Duke University0.06-2.54vs Predicted
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14The Citadel0.19-3.40vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-2.88vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.24-4.46vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.55-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4North Carolina State University1.789.9%1st Place
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4.22University of Miami2.3217.6%1st Place
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7.96Florida State University0.774.2%1st Place
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8.54Rollins College0.413.8%1st Place
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3.7College of Charleston2.4918.8%1st Place
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4.47Jacksonville University2.1017.0%1st Place
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7.45University of South Florida0.906.1%1st Place
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9.97Florida International University0.521.9%1st Place
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7.9Clemson University0.734.8%1st Place
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6.74Eckerd College1.217.2%1st Place
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12.88Embry-Riddle University-0.581.1%1st Place
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12.87University of Florida-1.840.9%1st Place
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10.46Duke University0.062.2%1st Place
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10.6The Citadel0.191.8%1st Place
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12.12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
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11.54University of North Carolina-0.241.6%1st Place
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16.19University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 18.8% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 17.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Smith | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 7.5% |
| Marco Distel | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 6.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 3.9% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.