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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.85+3.57vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.97+0.80vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.25+0.90vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University0.95+0.32vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.47-1.57vs Predicted
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7Bates College0.40-1.71vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.85-3.46vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-1.13-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-3.00-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.850.1%1st Place
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2.8Tufts University1.970.3%1st Place
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3.9Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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4.32Brandeis University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.43Brown University1.470.2%1st Place
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5.29Bates College0.400.1%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University0.850.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Connecticut-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.72University of New Hampshire-3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Vernacchia | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 5.4% | 0.3% |
| Eliza White | 27.6% | 22.8% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Low | 13.7% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Davida Judelson | 10.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Kaufmann | 19.8% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Wells | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 25.3% | 10.7% | 0.7% |
| Janelle Veary | 9.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 4.8% | 0.3% |
| Peter Rodriguez | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 61.2% | 13.0% |
| Devon Walker | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 9.7% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.