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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.88vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+7.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.77vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+5.04vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+2.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+5.55vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-0.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98+0.24vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.31-1.88vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-0.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.22vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-1.84vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.06-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.68vs Predicted
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16Tufts University4.08-7.03vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College4.15-8.25vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.19-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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6.15Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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9.24Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.87College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.22U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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11.16University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.32University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.97Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.75SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.22Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 6.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Colin Smith | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Mac Mace | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% |
| Taylor Vann | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 13.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% |
| Sam Williams | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Michael Russom | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 34.5% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.