← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+3.60vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami2.32+2.30vs Predicted
-
3Florida State University0.77+4.87vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.78+1.38vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston2.49-1.33vs Predicted
-
6Rollins College0.41+2.54vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida0.90+0.43vs Predicted
-
8Florida International University0.52+1.94vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College1.21-2.06vs Predicted
-
10The Citadel0.19+0.57vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38+1.15vs Predicted
-
12Duke University0.06-1.50vs Predicted
-
13Clemson University0.73-5.18vs Predicted
-
14University of Florida-1.84-1.38vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-0.24-3.44vs Predicted
-
16Embry-Riddle University-0.58-3.13vs Predicted
-
17University of Georgia-2.55-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.6Jacksonville University2.1014.6%1st Place
-
4.3University of Miami2.3216.4%1st Place
-
7.87Florida State University0.774.7%1st Place
-
5.38North Carolina State University1.7810.3%1st Place
-
3.67College of Charleston2.4921.4%1st Place
-
8.54Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
-
7.43University of South Florida0.904.5%1st Place
-
9.94Florida International University0.522.0%1st Place
-
6.94Eckerd College1.217.3%1st Place
-
10.57The Citadel0.192.0%1st Place
-
12.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
-
10.5Duke University0.062.2%1st Place
-
7.82Clemson University0.736.0%1st Place
-
12.62University of Florida-1.840.8%1st Place
-
11.56University of North Carolina-0.241.3%1st Place
-
12.87Embry-Riddle University-0.580.9%1st Place
-
16.25University of Georgia-2.550.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 14.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.4% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Smith | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 3.9% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Nilah Miller | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marco Distel | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 21.1% | 6.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 23.1% | 6.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.