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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.99+8.51vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.89vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+6.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+6.62vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.36+2.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+5.48vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31+0.84vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.19+0.31vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98+0.23vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.06-0.75vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.28vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-4.48vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-1.81vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.68+0.10vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University4.74-8.94vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-6.40vs Predicted
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17Tufts University4.08-7.98vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.38-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.51University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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10.62College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.31Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.23Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.25Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.72SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.19University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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6.06Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.63U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Voss | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Mac Mace | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Colin Smith | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Sam Williams | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| Michael Russom | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 13.9% | 35.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.