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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+4.26vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+2.65vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.77+4.88vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32-0.77vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.73+1.95vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+1.61vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.21-0.97vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.19+1.72vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.90-2.65vs Predicted
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11Duke University0.06-0.65vs Predicted
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12Florida International University0.52-2.21vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.84-0.09vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.24-2.45vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-2.97vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.58-3.12vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.55-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26North Carolina State University1.7810.8%1st Place
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4.65Jacksonville University2.1013.2%1st Place
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7.88Florida State University0.774.8%1st Place
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3.65College of Charleston2.4921.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Miami2.3216.4%1st Place
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7.95Clemson University0.734.8%1st Place
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8.61Rollins College0.414.3%1st Place
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7.03Eckerd College1.216.2%1st Place
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10.72The Citadel0.192.2%1st Place
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7.35University of South Florida0.905.0%1st Place
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10.35Duke University0.062.5%1st Place
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9.79Florida International University0.523.1%1st Place
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12.91University of Florida-1.841.2%1st Place
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11.55University of North Carolina-0.241.5%1st Place
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12.03University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.7%1st Place
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12.88Embry-Riddle University-0.581.1%1st Place
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16.16University of Georgia-2.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.1% | 19.7% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.4% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Smith | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 1.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Marco Distel | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 22.6% | 6.8% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 2.0% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 7.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 9.2% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.