← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.32+3.21vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.78+3.36vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.49+0.66vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.10+0.55vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.21+1.96vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.73+1.96vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.19+0.22vs Predicted
-
8Florida International University0.52+1.82vs Predicted
-
9Rollins College0.41-0.49vs Predicted
-
10Duke University0.06+0.36vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University0.77-3.05vs Predicted
-
12Embry-Riddle University-0.58+0.86vs Predicted
-
13University of North Carolina-0.46-0.67vs Predicted
-
14The Citadel0.19-3.63vs Predicted
-
15University of Florida-1.84-2.27vs Predicted
-
16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-4.00vs Predicted
-
17University of Georgia-2.55-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21University of Miami2.3216.9%1st Place
-
5.36North Carolina State University1.7810.1%1st Place
-
3.66College of Charleston2.4921.5%1st Place
-
4.55Jacksonville University2.1014.4%1st Place
-
6.96Eckerd College1.215.9%1st Place
-
7.96Clemson University0.735.2%1st Place
-
7.22University of South Florida1.195.2%1st Place
-
9.82Florida International University0.523.1%1st Place
-
8.51Rollins College0.414.2%1st Place
-
10.36Duke University0.061.8%1st Place
-
7.95Florida State University0.774.0%1st Place
-
12.86Embry-Riddle University-0.580.8%1st Place
-
12.33University of North Carolina-0.461.3%1st Place
-
10.37The Citadel0.192.4%1st Place
-
12.73University of Florida-1.841.2%1st Place
-
12.0University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.6%1st Place
-
16.15University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.9% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.5% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 7.8% |
| May Proctor | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 3.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Marco Distel | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 6.6% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 3.9% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.