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📊 Prediction Accuracy
82.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.73vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10+1.52vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.29vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.21+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.19+1.12vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+1.55vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.73+0.04vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.77-1.05vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06+0.27vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52-1.29vs Predicted
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12University of Florida-1.84+0.62vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.58-0.05vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.46-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-2.86vs Predicted
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16The Citadel0.19-5.34vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.55-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Miami2.3217.5%1st Place
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3.73College of Charleston2.4920.8%1st Place
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4.52Jacksonville University2.1013.9%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University1.7810.7%1st Place
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6.91Eckerd College1.216.6%1st Place
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7.12University of South Florida1.196.3%1st Place
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8.55Rollins College0.413.7%1st Place
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8.04Clemson University0.734.5%1st Place
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7.95Florida State University0.774.3%1st Place
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10.27Duke University0.062.5%1st Place
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9.71Florida International University0.522.6%1st Place
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12.62University of Florida-1.840.6%1st Place
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12.95Embry-Riddle University-0.581.2%1st Place
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12.13University of North Carolina-0.461.4%1st Place
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12.14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.4%1st Place
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10.66The Citadel0.192.0%1st Place
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16.17University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.8% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Smith | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Marco Distel | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 5.9% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 23.4% | 7.3% |
| May Proctor | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 4.3% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 4.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 1.2% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.