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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+5.37vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College4.15+6.80vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+8.01vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+3.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+4.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+2.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+4.34vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.06+0.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.99-0.49vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.31-3.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-2.77vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.65vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-2.82vs Predicted
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15Harvard University4.36-7.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.38-4.10vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-7.68vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.8SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.01College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.21Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.38Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.34University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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9.32Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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14.22University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Mac Mace | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| William Haeger | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Taylor Vann | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.