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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+3.62vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+1.22vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+3.87vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+2.14vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.78-0.80vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.19+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Florida-1.84+4.62vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.46+3.12vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.41-1.51vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-2.93vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.06-1.58vs Predicted
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13Florida International University0.52-3.07vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-1.85vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.21-8.09vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.58-3.22vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.55-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Jacksonville University2.1014.4%1st Place
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3.7College of Charleston2.4920.3%1st Place
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4.22University of Miami2.3217.0%1st Place
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7.87Florida State University0.774.3%1st Place
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7.14University of South Florida1.196.5%1st Place
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5.2North Carolina State University1.7812.6%1st Place
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10.57The Citadel0.191.5%1st Place
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12.62University of Florida-1.841.1%1st Place
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12.12University of North Carolina-0.461.2%1st Place
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8.49Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
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8.07Clemson University0.734.5%1st Place
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10.42Duke University0.061.8%1st Place
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9.93Florida International University0.522.1%1st Place
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12.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.1%1st Place
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6.91Eckerd College1.216.3%1st Place
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12.78Embry-Riddle University-0.581.2%1st Place
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16.18University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 14.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 20.3% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 17.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Adam Larson | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Marco Distel | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 6.8% |
| May Proctor | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 4.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 5.5% |
| Morgan Smith | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 6.0% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 10.1% | 75.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.