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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+3.21vs Predicted
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2Rollins College0.41+6.60vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+2.28vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.21+2.79vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.49-1.41vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.10-1.47vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.19+0.05vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.77-0.29vs Predicted
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9Florida International University0.52+0.86vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.06+0.25vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.73-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.24-0.68vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.84-0.26vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-2.06vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.58-2.31vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.41-3.55vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-2.55-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Miami2.3216.0%1st Place
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8.6Rollins College0.414.0%1st Place
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5.28North Carolina State University1.7811.1%1st Place
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6.79Eckerd College1.216.2%1st Place
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3.59College of Charleston2.4921.0%1st Place
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4.53Jacksonville University2.1014.4%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida1.197.1%1st Place
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7.71Florida State University0.775.1%1st Place
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9.86Florida International University0.522.5%1st Place
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10.25Duke University0.062.6%1st Place
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7.89Clemson University0.734.5%1st Place
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11.32University of North Carolina-0.241.8%1st Place
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12.74University of Florida-1.840.5%1st Place
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11.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.4%1st Place
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12.69Embry-Riddle University-0.580.8%1st Place
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12.45The Citadel-0.410.9%1st Place
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16.09University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlee Kohl | 16.0% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hilton Kamps | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Adam Larson | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Morgan Smith | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Noah Zittrer | 21.0% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Owen Bannasch | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Humberto Porrata | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Katie Nelson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Hudson Jenkins | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
Ian Hoogenboom | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
Nilah Miller | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
Marco Distel | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 6.8% |
Polk Baggett | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% |
Andrew Lam | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 7.3% |
Henry Parker | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 5.3% |
Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.