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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami3.99+8.44vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+7.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+8.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.86vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.38+6.65vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+1.86vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36+0.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+3.39vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.91vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49+1.66vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-4.65vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.98vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-4.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.08-5.46vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.53vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University4.01-6.74vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College4.15-8.33vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
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9.53Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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11.04College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.66University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.35Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
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8.27Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.26Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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8.67SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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14.19University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Voss | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Colin Smith | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Mac Mace | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Sam Williams | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Michael Russom | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 14.3% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.