← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami2.32+3.23vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.78+3.11vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.49+0.67vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.19+3.13vs Predicted
-
5Jacksonville University2.10-0.43vs Predicted
-
6Embry-Riddle University-0.58+6.72vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.21-0.16vs Predicted
-
8Duke University0.06+2.48vs Predicted
-
9Florida International University0.52+0.68vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.73-2.26vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-0.24+0.36vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College0.41-3.48vs Predicted
-
13Florida State University0.77-5.34vs Predicted
-
14The Citadel-0.41-1.51vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.38-3.06vs Predicted
-
16University of Florida-1.84-3.33vs Predicted
-
17University of Georgia-2.55-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23University of Miami2.3216.1%1st Place
-
5.11North Carolina State University1.7811.2%1st Place
-
3.67College of Charleston2.4921.1%1st Place
-
7.13University of South Florida1.195.6%1st Place
-
4.57Jacksonville University2.1014.1%1st Place
-
12.72Embry-Riddle University-0.580.5%1st Place
-
6.84Eckerd College1.216.8%1st Place
-
10.48Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
-
9.68Florida International University0.522.6%1st Place
-
7.74Clemson University0.735.1%1st Place
-
11.36University of North Carolina-0.241.7%1st Place
-
8.52Rollins College0.413.9%1st Place
-
7.66Florida State University0.775.3%1st Place
-
12.49The Citadel-0.411.3%1st Place
-
11.94University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.381.5%1st Place
-
12.67University of Florida-1.841.1%1st Place
-
16.17University of Georgia-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 16.1% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Zittrer | 21.1% | 19.4% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 14.1% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lam | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 6.6% |
| Morgan Smith | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 5.5% |
| Polk Baggett | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 3.5% |
| Marco Distel | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 6.5% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.