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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.35vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+3.39vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38-0.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+0.11vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.44+2.80vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33+2.18vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.23+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.84-0.53vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.22-0.54vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.09+0.22vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.52+0.06vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.50-4.47vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.83-1.40vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.04-1.52vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.20-4.96vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.54vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35University of South Florida1.5410.9%1st Place
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5.39North Carolina State University1.099.5%1st Place
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2.95College of Charleston2.3829.0%1st Place
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4.11Jacksonville University-1.3816.0%1st Place
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7.8Eckerd College0.444.2%1st Place
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8.18The Citadel0.334.0%1st Place
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9.79Clemson University0.232.6%1st Place
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7.47University of Miami0.845.7%1st Place
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8.46University of North Carolina0.223.8%1st Place
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10.22Rollins College0.092.0%1st Place
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11.06Embry-Riddle University-0.521.8%1st Place
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7.53Florida State University0.505.5%1st Place
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11.6Duke University-0.831.5%1st Place
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12.48University of Florida-1.041.4%1st Place
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10.04University of Central Florida-0.201.7%1st Place
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14.46University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.2%1st Place
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16.11University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 10.9% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 29.0% | 22.9% | 16.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 16.0% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Ward | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Brady Parks | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 2.4% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 4.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 36.2% | 18.2% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 13.2% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.