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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.14vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.13-1.36vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.41+2.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.90+1.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.84-0.96vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.41-1.55vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.72-1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California-2.24-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83University of California at Santa Cruz0.8610.0%1st Place
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3.14University of California at Berkeley0.8615.1%1st Place
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1.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.2.1357.8%1st Place
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6.29Arizona State University-0.413.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at San Diego-0.902.5%1st Place
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7.25University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.6%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Berkeley-0.843.2%1st Place
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6.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.002.5%1st Place
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7.45University of California at Davis-1.412.1%1st Place
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8.22Arizona State University-1.721.5%1st Place
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9.07University of Southern California-2.240.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 10.0% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 21.9% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 15.1% | 26.7% | 23.3% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 57.8% | 27.1% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.8% |
| Emma Kalway | 2.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Liam Williams | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 8.8% |
| Bianca Weber | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 6.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 12.7% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| Maximilian Miesen | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.