Race 10A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Daniel Perkins 20.5% 17.9% 17.8% 14.7% 10.3% 7.5% 4.9% 3.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Ryan Mullins 19.2% 19.2% 15.8% 13.7% 10.7% 9.1% 5.0% 3.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
James Altreuter 9.6% 8.7% 10.9% 9.6% 11.3% 10.6% 13.1% 9.1% 9.1% 4.2% 3.3% 0.5%
Alden Winder 2.5% 4.2% 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 9.9% 8.3% 11.2% 11.2% 12.6% 12.7% 12.1%
Connor Aswad 15.7% 15.3% 14.5% 14.3% 11.6% 9.6% 7.0% 5.7% 2.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Sam Millham 3.6% 4.9% 5.1% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 9.9% 9.5% 12.8% 12.6% 14.8% 9.0%
Tom Charpentier 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 6.7% 5.5% 6.7% 9.0% 12.1% 12.8% 17.3% 15.9%
Tevis Nichols 6.6% 6.2% 7.8% 8.3% 7.6% 9.9% 10.3% 9.2% 12.7% 10.9% 6.6% 3.9%
Charles Field 5.6% 5.4% 8.1% 8.4% 10.7% 10.9% 10.8% 12.1% 9.6% 10.1% 5.5% 2.8%
Eric Schwarm 8.4% 9.4% 8.4% 10.8% 10.4% 11.4% 10.8% 11.4% 7.3% 6.6% 3.2% 1.9%
Emerson Krock 2.0% 1.4% 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 4.8% 6.6% 6.5% 11.8% 17.5% 39.7%
Christopher Edwards 3.2% 4.0% 2.9% 2.9% 6.4% 5.6% 8.4% 8.8% 11.8% 14.6% 17.4% 14.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.