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📊 Prediction Accuracy
82.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+3.19vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+0.96vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+6.62vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.54+0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.84+1.42vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.44+0.71vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.22-0.51vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.33-1.80vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.09-0.90vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-1.72vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.52-1.96vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.04-1.44vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-3.32vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.69vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Jacksonville University-1.3816.9%1st Place
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2.96College of Charleston2.3828.5%1st Place
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9.62Clemson University0.232.7%1st Place
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5.41North Carolina State University1.0910.0%1st Place
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5.39University of South Florida1.5410.5%1st Place
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7.42University of Miami0.844.8%1st Place
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7.71Eckerd College0.444.3%1st Place
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7.51Florida State University0.505.4%1st Place
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8.49University of North Carolina0.223.6%1st Place
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8.2The Citadel0.334.0%1st Place
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10.1Rollins College0.092.4%1st Place
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10.28University of Central Florida-0.202.1%1st Place
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11.04Embry-Riddle University-0.521.7%1st Place
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12.56University of Florida-1.041.4%1st Place
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11.68Duke University-0.831.1%1st Place
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14.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.7%1st Place
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16.13University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 16.9% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.5% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brady Parks | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 1.2% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 3.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 34.9% | 19.6% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 14.9% | 70.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.