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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.75vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+7.41vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.31+4.95vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+2.98vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+2.30vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+2.04vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+1.08vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.74-3.04vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-0.95vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-0.24vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.06-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.05vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-4.84vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-3.49vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.38-4.24vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-5.60vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.41Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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7.95Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.41SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.3Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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5.96Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.76College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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14.05University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Mac Mace | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% |
| Sam Williams | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Michael Russom | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 33.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| David Alfonso | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% |
| Taylor Vann | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.