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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.84+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+2.38vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina0.22+4.64vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.23+4.63vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33+1.98vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-2.86vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.09+2.09vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-3.57vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.20+0.30vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College0.44-3.28vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.50-4.38vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.04-0.41vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.52-3.01vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-3.27vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.61vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79College of Charleston2.3831.5%1st Place
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7.43University of Miami0.844.9%1st Place
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5.38University of South Florida1.549.6%1st Place
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8.64University of North Carolina0.223.8%1st Place
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9.63Clemson University0.232.6%1st Place
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7.98The Citadel0.334.3%1st Place
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4.14Jacksonville University-1.3816.0%1st Place
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10.09Rollins College0.092.4%1st Place
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5.43North Carolina State University1.099.4%1st Place
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10.3University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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7.72Eckerd College0.444.2%1st Place
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7.62Florida State University0.504.3%1st Place
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12.59University of Florida-1.041.1%1st Place
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10.99Embry-Riddle University-0.521.9%1st Place
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11.73Duke University-0.831.7%1st Place
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14.39University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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16.15University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 31.5% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Carter Morin | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brady Parks | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 5.1% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 2.3% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 34.8% | 17.3% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 12.5% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.