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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+3.31vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.44+4.83vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09+1.36vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33+3.22vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.58+0.47vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina0.22+0.52vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.50-1.43vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.02vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.09-0.82vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-2.24vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-2.89vs Predicted
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14University of Florida-1.04-1.49vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-3.22vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.71vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89College of Charleston2.3828.6%1st Place
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5.31University of South Florida1.5410.8%1st Place
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7.83Eckerd College0.444.1%1st Place
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5.36North Carolina State University1.099.2%1st Place
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8.22The Citadel0.334.0%1st Place
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4.1Jacksonville University-1.3816.9%1st Place
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7.47University of Miami0.585.5%1st Place
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8.52University of North Carolina0.223.5%1st Place
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7.57Florida State University0.504.8%1st Place
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11.02Embry-Riddle University-0.521.9%1st Place
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10.18Rollins College0.092.2%1st Place
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9.76Clemson University0.232.9%1st Place
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10.11University of Central Florida-0.202.5%1st Place
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12.51University of Florida-1.041.1%1st Place
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11.78Duke University-0.831.3%1st Place
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14.29University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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16.09University of Georgia-3.030.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.6% | 22.1% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 16.9% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 5.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 1.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 33.4% | 18.9% |
| William Bell | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 13.9% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.