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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.66vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.36+5.73vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.64+7.91vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+4.95vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.39vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.53vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98+1.09vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+2.26vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.74-3.69vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-2.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-2.83vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.19-4.86vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.31-6.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.38-3.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.57vs Predicted
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17University of Miami3.99-7.75vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.91College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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8.53SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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9.09Brown University3.980.0%1st Place
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11.26University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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6.31Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.14Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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11.62U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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11.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.25University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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14.11University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Mac Mace | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| David Alfonso | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Colin Smith | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 6.7% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| William Haeger | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Michael Russom | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.