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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.38+9.96vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+8.55vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+5.05vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+1.95vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+1.75vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08+1.73vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-2.02vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-0.79vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.85vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-0.26vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-2.60vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.71vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.04vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-3.68vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.99-6.79vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College4.15-8.38vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College4.06-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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11.55University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.74College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.96University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.62SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 11.5% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Samuel Blouin | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.4% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| David Alfonso | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% |
| Mac Mace | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Michael Russom | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 33.0% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.