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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+3.14vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+0.89vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+2.21vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.44+3.83vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.33+3.21vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.50+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-1.56vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-0.52+3.03vs Predicted
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9University of Miami0.58-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina0.22-1.64vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.04+1.48vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.09-1.94vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.23-3.12vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-0.20-3.54vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-3.35vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-1.57vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Jacksonville University-1.3815.9%1st Place
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2.89College of Charleston2.3830.2%1st Place
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5.21North Carolina State University1.0910.8%1st Place
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7.83Eckerd College0.445.1%1st Place
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8.21The Citadel0.333.8%1st Place
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7.64Florida State University0.504.4%1st Place
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5.44University of South Florida1.549.6%1st Place
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11.03Embry-Riddle University-0.521.6%1st Place
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7.27University of Miami0.584.8%1st Place
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8.36University of North Carolina0.223.7%1st Place
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12.48University of Florida-1.041.2%1st Place
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10.06Rollins College0.092.2%1st Place
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9.88Clemson University0.232.2%1st Place
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10.46University of Central Florida-0.202.7%1st Place
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11.65Duke University-0.831.0%1st Place
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14.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.7%1st Place
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16.03University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 30.2% | 22.7% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brady Parks | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 1.4% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 18.6% | 16.7% | 4.9% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 34.4% | 20.5% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 15.4% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.