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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+3.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.38+0.85vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College0.44+4.68vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.50+3.69vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.09+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina0.22+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.58-0.64vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.09+1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.04+2.56vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.23-1.23vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.94vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-2.66vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.83-2.31vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.69vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-3.03+0.16vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.33-8.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Jacksonville University-1.3815.8%1st Place
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2.85College of Charleston2.3829.4%1st Place
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7.68Eckerd College0.444.9%1st Place
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7.69Florida State University0.504.8%1st Place
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5.35North Carolina State University1.099.2%1st Place
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5.29University of South Florida1.5410.2%1st Place
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8.47University of North Carolina0.223.9%1st Place
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7.36University of Miami0.585.5%1st Place
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10.08Rollins College0.092.4%1st Place
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12.56University of Florida-1.041.2%1st Place
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9.77Clemson University0.232.9%1st Place
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11.06Embry-Riddle University-0.521.4%1st Place
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10.34University of Central Florida-0.202.1%1st Place
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11.69Duke University-0.831.6%1st Place
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14.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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16.16University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
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8.1The Citadel0.334.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 15.8% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 29.4% | 24.2% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 35.4% | 18.1% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 14.1% | 70.8% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.