← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+8.72vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.64+9.02vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University4.36+4.90vs Predicted
-
4Yale University4.19+4.29vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+2.12vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.56vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.38+4.80vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.55vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami3.99+0.24vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.49+1.65vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College4.06-1.95vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University4.31-3.79vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-1.71vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University4.74-8.08vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University4.01-5.87vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University4.08-7.03vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.98-7.62vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.68-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
-
11.02College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
-
7.9Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
-
8.29Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
-
7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
-
8.56SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
11.8U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
-
9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
9.24University of Miami3.990.0%1st Place
-
11.65University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.05Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
8.21Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
-
11.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
-
5.92Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
9.13Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.97Tufts University4.080.0%1st Place
-
9.38Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
14.22University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Mac Mace | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.6% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| William Haeger | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.