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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+1.90vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.23+7.67vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.84+4.27vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College0.44+3.76vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.09+0.31vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-1.75vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.50+0.46vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina0.22+0.55vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.33-0.65vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.06-0.04vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.20-0.70vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.54-6.70vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.83-1.36vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.63vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-1.04-3.23vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9College of Charleston2.3828.7%1st Place
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9.67Clemson University0.232.8%1st Place
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7.27University of Miami0.845.3%1st Place
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7.76Eckerd College0.444.4%1st Place
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5.31North Carolina State University1.0910.2%1st Place
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4.25Jacksonville University-1.3816.5%1st Place
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7.46Florida State University0.505.8%1st Place
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8.55University of North Carolina0.223.5%1st Place
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8.35The Citadel0.333.1%1st Place
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9.96Rollins College-0.061.9%1st Place
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10.3University of Central Florida-0.202.5%1st Place
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5.3University of South Florida1.5410.4%1st Place
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11.64Duke University-0.831.8%1st Place
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11.04Embry-Riddle University-0.521.8%1st Place
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14.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.4%1st Place
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12.77University of Florida-1.041.0%1st Place
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16.11University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.7% | 23.4% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Ward | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Morin | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Jost | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| KA Hamner | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 1.7% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 36.0% | 19.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 5.1% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 15.0% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.