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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.54+4.40vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+3.46vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.38-0.09vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University-1.38+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.84+2.28vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina0.22+2.49vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.33+1.17vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-0.45vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.23+0.60vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.44-2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Florida-1.04+1.67vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.06-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-2.84vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.52-2.88vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.57vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.83-4.21vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4University of South Florida1.5410.1%1st Place
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5.46North Carolina State University1.0910.1%1st Place
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2.91College of Charleston2.3828.8%1st Place
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4.2Jacksonville University-1.3815.8%1st Place
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7.28University of Miami0.844.9%1st Place
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8.49University of North Carolina0.223.4%1st Place
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8.17The Citadel0.334.5%1st Place
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7.55Florida State University0.505.5%1st Place
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9.6Clemson University0.232.9%1st Place
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7.72Eckerd College0.444.8%1st Place
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12.67University of Florida-1.040.7%1st Place
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9.94Rollins College-0.062.4%1st Place
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10.16University of Central Florida-0.202.4%1st Place
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11.12Embry-Riddle University-0.522.0%1st Place
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14.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.2%1st Place
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11.79Duke University-0.831.5%1st Place
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16.08University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Nykamp | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.8% | 23.4% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 15.8% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Brady Parks | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Carter Morin | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 4.5% |
| KA Hamner | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 1.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 13.7% | 35.6% | 19.2% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 1.8% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 6.0% | 13.8% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.