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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+9.92vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+7.40vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.36+4.90vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.38+7.66vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.45vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.99vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.19+1.33vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+2.37vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-0.43vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.14vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-3.55vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.31-6.41vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.71vs Predicted
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16University of Miami3.99-6.71vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-9.63vs Predicted
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18Tufts University4.08-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.92College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.4Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.66U. S. Naval Academy3.380.0%1st Place
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9.45St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.99Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.33Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.37University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.57Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.73SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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11.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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14.29University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Vann | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Sam Williams | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% |
| Daniel Liberty | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Michael Russom | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 35.2% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.