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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.09+4.41vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.54+2.47vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.38-1.17vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.84+2.51vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33+2.34vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.06+2.83vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina0.22+0.46vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-0.52+1.89vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College0.44-2.22vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.50-3.42vs Predicted
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12Duke University-0.83-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Central Florida-0.20-2.86vs Predicted
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14Clemson University0.23-4.10vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.59vs Predicted
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16University of Florida-1.04-3.44vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41North Carolina State University1.0910.0%1st Place
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4.11Jacksonville University-1.3816.2%1st Place
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5.47University of South Florida1.549.0%1st Place
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2.83College of Charleston2.3831.5%1st Place
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7.51University of Miami0.845.1%1st Place
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8.34The Citadel0.333.9%1st Place
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9.83Rollins College-0.061.8%1st Place
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8.46University of North Carolina0.223.6%1st Place
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10.89Embry-Riddle University-0.521.5%1st Place
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7.78Eckerd College0.445.1%1st Place
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7.58Florida State University0.505.2%1st Place
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11.6Duke University-0.831.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Central Florida-0.202.5%1st Place
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9.9Clemson University0.232.2%1st Place
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14.41University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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12.56University of Florida-1.040.7%1st Place
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16.16University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 16.2% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 31.5% | 22.8% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| KA Hamner | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Noah Jost | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 1.5% |
| Carter Morin | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brady Parks | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 36.3% | 17.8% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 4.2% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 13.1% | 72.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.