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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+1.88vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+2.19vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.23+6.72vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+5.78vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.09+0.53vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.50+1.42vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-1.53vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.33+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.22-0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Florida-1.04+2.57vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.52-0.13vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.20-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.71-5.83vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61+0.45vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.83-3.10vs Predicted
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16University of Georgia-3.03+0.13vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College0.44-9.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88College of Charleston2.3828.3%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University-1.3816.5%1st Place
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9.72Clemson University0.232.6%1st Place
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9.78Rollins College-0.062.4%1st Place
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5.53North Carolina State University1.0910.4%1st Place
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7.42Florida State University0.505.0%1st Place
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5.47University of South Florida1.549.6%1st Place
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8.23The Citadel0.334.1%1st Place
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8.5University of North Carolina0.223.9%1st Place
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12.57University of Florida-1.041.0%1st Place
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10.87Embry-Riddle University-0.521.7%1st Place
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10.28University of Central Florida-0.202.4%1st Place
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7.17University of Miami0.715.5%1st Place
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14.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.5%1st Place
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11.9Duke University-0.831.4%1st Place
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16.13University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
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7.93Eckerd College0.444.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 28.3% | 24.2% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Barnes | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| KA Hamner | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Parks | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Noah Jost | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ayden Feria | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 4.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Dominic Canonico | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 36.4% | 19.8% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 9.7% | 3.0% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 15.3% | 70.1% |
| Carter Morin | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.