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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+1.88vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+3.41vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+1.19vs Predicted
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4Rollins College-0.06+5.76vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.50+2.52vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.33+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.54-1.60vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College0.44-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina0.22-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.71-2.95vs Predicted
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11University of Central Florida-0.20-0.80vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.23-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Florida-1.04-0.47vs Predicted
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14Duke University-0.83-2.36vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.61-0.48vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.52-4.92vs Predicted
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17University of Georgia-3.03-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88College of Charleston2.3829.3%1st Place
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5.41North Carolina State University1.099.5%1st Place
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4.19Jacksonville University-1.3815.0%1st Place
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9.76Rollins College-0.062.9%1st Place
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7.52Florida State University0.505.3%1st Place
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8.27The Citadel0.333.5%1st Place
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5.4University of South Florida1.5410.5%1st Place
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7.97Eckerd College0.444.5%1st Place
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8.7University of North Carolina0.223.5%1st Place
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7.05University of Miami0.716.6%1st Place
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10.2University of Central Florida-0.202.1%1st Place
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9.7Clemson University0.233.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Florida-1.040.9%1st Place
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11.64Duke University-0.831.4%1st Place
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14.52University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.610.2%1st Place
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11.08Embry-Riddle University-0.521.6%1st Place
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16.18University of Georgia-3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 29.3% | 23.7% | 17.3% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 15.0% | 17.4% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Brady Parks | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Morin | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Noah Jost | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Dominic Canonico | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Eckert | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Rowan Barnes | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Ayden Feria | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Ringel | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 37.2% | 18.2% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| William Bell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 12.3% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.