Race 11A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Field 5.8% 5.6% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 10.3% 11.2% 11.2% 11.7% 10.1% 7.5% 4.4%
Ryan Mullins 18.4% 20.6% 14.1% 15.2% 10.3% 9.5% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Aswad 16.0% 14.2% 15.5% 12.4% 12.3% 11.3% 9.3% 4.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.6% 0.2%
James Altreuter 7.3% 9.3% 11.4% 12.0% 12.5% 9.3% 10.3% 10.2% 8.3% 4.9% 3.3% 1.2%
Alden Winder 3.0% 4.4% 4.2% 5.6% 7.1% 8.1% 6.9% 11.8% 10.9% 12.4% 14.8% 10.8%
Daniel Perkins 22.7% 19.3% 14.7% 14.8% 10.5% 7.5% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Schwarm 8.6% 9.2% 10.8% 9.1% 9.4% 11.0% 10.9% 10.1% 9.1% 6.9% 3.3% 1.6%
Sam Millham 4.8% 4.9% 5.0% 4.9% 7.7% 6.3% 9.1% 10.9% 10.7% 14.6% 12.6% 8.5%
Tevis Nichols 5.8% 4.6% 7.7% 8.0% 10.5% 11.0% 11.5% 10.1% 11.4% 9.6% 7.0% 2.8%
Christopher Edwards 3.5% 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 8.7% 9.5% 10.9% 15.1% 14.6% 14.8%
Tom Charpentier 2.8% 2.3% 2.7% 4.1% 4.9% 6.0% 8.0% 8.3% 12.6% 12.4% 17.6% 18.3%
Emerson Krock 1.3% 2.2% 2.2% 2.6% 2.1% 3.7% 4.0% 6.4% 8.1% 11.5% 18.5% 37.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.