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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.69vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.94vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+3.83vs Predicted
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6University of Miami3.69+3.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.67+2.88vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-0.91vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.44vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.93-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.48-0.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-1.88vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.60-2.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.97vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-6.02vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.44-5.99vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.83Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.88Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.86University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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10.12Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.07SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.98Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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11.01Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| David Hernandez | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% |
| Harry Scott | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% |
| Gary Herring | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 15.3% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.