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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+8.12vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.27vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+5.44vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.44+6.70vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.57vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.24vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30+0.20vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.48+2.60vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-3.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+0.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-1.09vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-1.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.22vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-4.44vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-5.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.06vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.93-8.08vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania3.16-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.7Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.24SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.6University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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9.56Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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9.86Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.92College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Gowell | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| David Hernandez | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% |
| Gary Herring | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% |
| Michael Grove | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.