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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.44+9.99vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+10.33vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.76vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+5.94vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+3.17vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.61vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+2.82vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.93+0.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-1.88vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+0.06vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-1.68vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.48-2.41vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-4.43vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-5.28vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.89-6.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.98vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.99Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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5.76Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.64College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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7.12Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.48SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.32Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gowell | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 16.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| David Hernandez | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Gary Herring | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| SEAN Ross | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Michael Grove | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.