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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.80vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+6.38vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+7.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.44+6.73vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.93+3.69vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Miami3.69+2.79vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.00vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-2.59vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.61vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-1.69vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.48-3.63vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.18vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.86vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.70-7.10vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-8.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.11Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.73Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.94Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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11.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.39SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.31Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.5% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| David Hernandez | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% |
| Gary Herring | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Harry Scott | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Michael Grove | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 18.2% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.