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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+6.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.67vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+7.15vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.69+5.68vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.96vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.44+4.91vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+3.96vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.93+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.14vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.49-0.14vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-3.42vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-3.26vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.16vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.70-5.30vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-6.05vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-8.23vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.89-9.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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10.91Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.86University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.74Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.84SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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8.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| David Hernandez | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Gowell | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% |
| Gary Herring | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.9% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% |
| Harry Scott | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.