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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+7.38vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.44+9.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+6.12vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+4.54vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.30+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+1.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.77vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University4.71-4.28vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-1.04vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-1.03vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.28vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.37-3.26vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.13vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.77vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.87vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.67-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.13Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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9.12Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.96Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.97University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.23SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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12.13University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| David Hernandez | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Michael Grove | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% |
| Gary Herring | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Harry Scott | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.8% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.