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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.89+7.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.76vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+4.56vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+5.99vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.85vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.95vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.69+1.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-2.02vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-1.58vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-1.04vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.66vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.01vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-3.76vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-4.14vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.44-5.12vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.88vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.67-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.06Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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8.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.56College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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10.99Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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6.98Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.96Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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9.99SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.24University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.88Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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12.12University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 11.4% |
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Gary Herring | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.5% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.