← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College4.05+7.38vs Predicted
-
2Brown University4.30+5.26vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.71vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University4.71+1.55vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.89+3.79vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.13vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.75vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.44+2.68vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.94vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.37+1.32vs Predicted
-
11Old Dominion University3.67-1.02vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-1.63vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.67-3.40vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami3.69-4.60vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.93-6.42vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.98vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.92vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida3.48-7.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.38Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
7.26Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
5.55Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
8.79Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
10.13SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.68Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
-
10.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
11.32Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
9.98Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
9.6Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.4University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.58College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
12.02University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
10.45University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% |
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Gowell | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| Gary Herring | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% |
| David Hernandez | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 17.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.