← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.71+4.70vs Predicted
-
2Brown University4.30+5.20vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+5.67vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.93+4.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Miami3.69+4.52vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.89+2.73vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College4.05+0.97vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.72vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.44+1.73vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.93vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania3.16+0.99vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.16+0.22vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.37-2.22vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.65vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-4.28vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.93vs Predicted
-
17University of South Florida3.48-6.36vs Predicted
-
18Old Dominion University3.67-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.7Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
7.2Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
8.42College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
9.52University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.73Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
7.97Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
10.73Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
-
9.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
11.99University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
12.22Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.78Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
10.07SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
10.64University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
-
9.52Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Gary Herring | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.