Race 12A

longfellow-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Aswad 15.2% 15.1% 14.9% 13.5% 12.9% 9.1% 6.4% 6.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.4%
Daniel Perkins 21.3% 20.6% 16.4% 14.3% 9.5% 7.1% 5.4% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Millham 4.5% 4.3% 3.9% 6.0% 6.4% 5.8% 8.4% 11.6% 12.1% 12.9% 13.5% 10.6%
Charles Field 4.2% 5.9% 7.8% 8.7% 9.8% 12.0% 10.2% 10.2% 8.7% 9.6% 8.7% 4.2%
Eric Schwarm 7.7% 8.5% 10.7% 10.9% 9.5% 11.7% 10.4% 10.2% 7.6% 6.9% 3.8% 2.1%
James Altreuter 8.2% 10.7% 9.6% 10.3% 11.3% 11.3% 11.8% 9.9% 7.7% 5.1% 3.5% 0.6%
Christopher Edwards 3.4% 3.9% 4.1% 3.9% 5.8% 6.6% 8.3% 9.6% 10.5% 14.1% 14.0% 15.8%
Ryan Mullins 21.6% 17.0% 16.9% 11.6% 10.4% 9.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Alden Winder 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 5.5% 6.8% 8.9% 9.7% 10.1% 13.1% 13.0% 13.6% 8.2%
Emerson Krock 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 6.1% 8.8% 11.1% 17.5% 36.1%
Tom Charpentier 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 4.7% 4.6% 5.4% 7.1% 8.9% 11.4% 14.3% 16.4% 18.9%
Tevis Nichols 6.6% 6.1% 5.4% 7.4% 10.1% 9.4% 11.4% 10.2% 12.9% 9.5% 8.1% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.