← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.50+2.68vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.01+0.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.34+0.61vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.59-0.59vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University-0.79+0.55vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-0.67-0.69vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-0.80-1.48vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.20-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.68Northeastern University0.5014.5%1st Place
-
2.63Boston University1.0130.9%1st Place
-
3.61University of Rhode Island0.3416.5%1st Place
-
3.41Fairfield University0.5918.1%1st Place
-
5.55Salve Regina University-0.795.4%1st Place
-
5.31Unknown School-0.676.6%1st Place
-
5.52University of Connecticut-0.805.3%1st Place
-
6.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.202.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Anderson | 14.5% | 17.2% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 30.9% | 23.4% | 18.9% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Pierson Falk | 16.5% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 18.1% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 21.2% |
| Aoife Mahoney | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 15.9% |
| Ryan Treat | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| cole capizzo | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.