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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+9.00vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+6.75vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+2.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.59vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+3.67vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.44+4.72vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+3.50vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.73vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69-0.14vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.94vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-0.83vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.30-6.08vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.67-4.59vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania3.16-3.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.90vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.37-5.91vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-9.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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8.75College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.67Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.72Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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10.5University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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11.94Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.1SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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11.09Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eamon Glackin | 5.1% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| David Hernandez | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 14.8% |
| Gary Herring | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.