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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.67vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+6.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+4.16vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+4.60vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.16+6.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+5.02vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.16+4.87vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.33vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.44+1.70vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-0.05vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.15vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.69-1.98vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-4.35vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.93-5.79vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-5.01vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-6.11vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-6.11vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.16Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.6Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.02Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.87Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.7Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.02University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.21College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.99SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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10.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.0% |
| William Hutchings | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 14.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| David Hernandez | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Gary Herring | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.