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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+4.39vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+4.93vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.60+8.80vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.47+6.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+5.04vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.30+2.33vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.98-0.06vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.57+1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.71-1.45vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.28-4.55vs Predicted
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11Cornell University1.96-4.33vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-5.70vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.78vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-5.48vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-4.47vs Predicted
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16Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32+0.39vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-0.66-1.54vs Predicted
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18Drexel University0.47-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Georgetown University2.4012.4%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.058.5%1st Place
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11.8Christopher Newport University0.602.3%1st Place
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10.53Hampton University1.473.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.2%1st Place
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8.33Webb Institute1.306.9%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University1.988.4%1st Place
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9.73Old Dominion University1.574.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Pennsylvania1.717.0%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.4%1st Place
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6.67Cornell University1.968.9%1st Place
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6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.0%1st Place
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12.22SUNY Maritime College0.411.9%1st Place
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8.52George Washington University1.275.6%1st Place
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10.53Princeton University0.843.2%1st Place
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16.39Rochester Institute of Technology-1.320.4%1st Place
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15.46Syracuse University-0.660.9%1st Place
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12.22Drexel University0.471.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 3.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Asher Green | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 19.7% | 54.8% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 29.3% | 31.0% |
| Iain Shand | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.