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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.48+9.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+5.33vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+7.25vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.69+4.69vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.99vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.93+1.72vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05+0.11vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.08vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.44+1.15vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.70vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.70-1.84vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-3.85vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-4.49vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-4.12vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-6.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.02vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-9.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.88University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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7.33Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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8.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.72College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.15Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEAN Ross | 4.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 14.4% |
| Matthew Gowell | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% |
| Harry Scott | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Gary Herring | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.