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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+5.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+3.43vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.57+6.66vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.27+4.86vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.71+2.40vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40-0.67vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.30+1.41vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.96-1.28vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-2.64vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.20vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.47-1.53vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.60-1.36vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.68vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.84-4.33vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.47-3.99vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-0.52vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.66-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Fordham University1.987.7%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.8%1st Place
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9.66Old Dominion University1.574.3%1st Place
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8.86George Washington University1.274.8%1st Place
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7.4University of Pennsylvania1.716.6%1st Place
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5.33Georgetown University2.4013.7%1st Place
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8.41Webb Institute1.305.2%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University1.969.3%1st Place
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6.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.3%1st Place
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7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.9%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.6%1st Place
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10.47Hampton University1.473.5%1st Place
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11.64Christopher Newport University0.602.1%1st Place
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12.32SUNY Maritime College0.412.9%1st Place
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10.67Princeton University0.842.8%1st Place
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12.01Drexel University0.472.3%1st Place
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16.48Rochester Institute of Technology-1.320.4%1st Place
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15.46Syracuse University-0.660.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Honig | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.7% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Asher Green | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Iain Shand | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Kristen McDonough | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 19.6% | 55.1% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 29.0% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.