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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+7.94vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+3.69vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+5.40vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+5.80vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+4.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.99vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Miami3.69+0.04vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.67-0.99vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.44-0.78vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.70-3.42vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-5.71vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.86vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.09vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.48-6.21vs Predicted
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18Brown University4.30-11.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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5.69Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.26Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.96University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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11.22Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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10.14SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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10.79University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
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6.97Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
| Gary Herring | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% |
| David Hernandez | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
| Michael Grove | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.