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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+7.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.70+7.87vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+7.80vs Predicted
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4University of Miami3.69+5.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.61vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.30+1.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.87vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-0.03vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.93-0.52vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05+2.59vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.71-5.42vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-1.90vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.34vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.44-4.35vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-5.12vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania3.16-5.02vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.80-9.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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10.8University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.48College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.59Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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5.58Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.1Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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9.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.66SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.65Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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10.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.95Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Massimo Soriano | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% |
| David Hernandez | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Michael Grove | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 19.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Harry Scott | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% |
| Gary Herring | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.