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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.98+5.81vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.96+4.58vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.57+5.46vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.71+2.29vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.27+2.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+2.79vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.27+4.65vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30-0.61vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.60+1.56vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.70vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.40-6.71vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.47-2.63vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.47-2.00vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-0.66+0.62vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-9.09vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.41-4.66vs Predicted
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18Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Fordham University1.988.0%1st Place
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6.58Cornell University1.969.8%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.4%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University1.574.4%1st Place
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7.29University of Pennsylvania1.717.6%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University1.274.9%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.0%1st Place
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12.65Princeton University0.271.7%1st Place
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8.39Webb Institute1.305.7%1st Place
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11.56Christopher Newport University0.602.5%1st Place
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6.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.8%1st Place
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5.29Georgetown University2.4013.5%1st Place
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10.37Hampton University1.473.3%1st Place
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12.0Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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15.62Syracuse University-0.660.5%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.5%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Maritime College0.411.9%1st Place
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15.35Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Zils | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 5.1% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 21.8% | 40.6% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| John Wynne | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.