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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.28+4.63vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.27+6.60vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.57+6.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.71+2.21vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.98+0.79vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.96-0.33vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.40-2.66vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05-2.11vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute1.30-1.76vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13-4.63vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.47-1.40vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.60-1.22vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.27-1.40vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.41-2.66vs Predicted
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16Drexel University0.47-4.04vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-1.80vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.66-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.8%1st Place
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8.6George Washington University1.276.3%1st Place
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9.29Old Dominion University1.574.2%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.5%1st Place
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7.21University of Pennsylvania1.717.6%1st Place
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6.79Fordham University1.988.7%1st Place
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6.67Cornell University1.968.7%1st Place
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5.34Georgetown University2.4011.9%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.0%1st Place
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8.24Webb Institute1.305.5%1st Place
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.139.7%1st Place
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10.6Hampton University1.472.5%1st Place
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11.78Christopher Newport University0.602.3%1st Place
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12.6Princeton University0.271.8%1st Place
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12.34SUNY Maritime College0.412.3%1st Place
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11.96Drexel University0.472.5%1st Place
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15.2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.4%1st Place
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15.51Syracuse University-0.660.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Welburn | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Honig | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| Iain Shand | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 5.2% |
| John Wynne | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 34.0% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 19.2% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.