← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University4.71+4.73vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.93+6.87vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.10vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College4.05+3.96vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+3.41vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.06vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.90vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.49+2.45vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.70vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami3.69-0.10vs Predicted
-
11Brown University4.30-3.86vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University3.67-1.88vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.70-3.58vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania3.16-2.47vs Predicted
-
15Georgetown University3.44-4.31vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.05-3.51vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.89-8.09vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-7.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.73Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
8.87College of Charleston3.930.0%1st Place
-
9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
7.96Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
10.06SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.45University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.14Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
10.12Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
-
9.42Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.53University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.69Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
-
12.49Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.91Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
10.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 12.1% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Harry Scott | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% |
| Michael Grove | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% |
| David Hernandez | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 14.0% |
| Matthew Gowell | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 19.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Gary Herring | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.