← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.96vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.70+7.87vs Predicted
-
3University of Miami3.69+6.89vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University4.71+1.50vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+4.84vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College4.05+2.08vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston3.93+1.57vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+0.41vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University3.67+0.75vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.44+1.05vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-0.03vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.89-2.85vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.25vs Predicted
-
14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.40vs Predicted
-
15Brown University4.30-8.01vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University3.16-4.02vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College3.60-6.75vs Predicted
-
18University of South Florida3.49-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.96U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
-
9.87Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
-
9.89University of Miami3.690.1%1st Place
-
5.5Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
-
9.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
-
8.08Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
8.57College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
-
9.75Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
-
11.05Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
-
10.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
9.15Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
11.75University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
-
8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
6.99Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
11.98Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.25SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
10.38University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| David Hernandez | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.4% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% |
| Matthew Gowell | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Gary Herring | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Jack Swikart | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 14.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 16.1% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.