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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+5.95vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.77+5.47vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.71+3.27vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.98+1.84vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.72+5.19vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.96-0.21vs Predicted
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8Webb Institute1.30+0.31vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.57+0.60vs Predicted
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10Hampton University1.47+0.70vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.60+0.70vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-1.93vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.28-7.63vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-4.84vs Predicted
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15Drexel University0.47-2.80vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.84-5.26vs Predicted
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17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-1.50vs Predicted
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18Syracuse University-0.66-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland2.059.0%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.775.9%1st Place
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5.4Georgetown University2.4013.9%1st Place
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7.27University of Pennsylvania1.718.2%1st Place
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6.84Fordham University1.988.4%1st Place
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11.19SUNY Maritime College0.722.9%1st Place
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6.79Cornell University1.968.3%1st Place
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8.31Webb Institute1.306.9%1st Place
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9.6Old Dominion University1.574.3%1st Place
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10.7Hampton University1.473.4%1st Place
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11.7Christopher Newport University0.602.4%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.993.9%1st Place
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5.37U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.2%1st Place
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9.16George Washington University1.274.5%1st Place
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12.2Drexel University0.471.9%1st Place
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10.74Princeton University0.842.8%1st Place
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15.5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.630.6%1st Place
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15.73Syracuse University-0.660.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 13.9% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Honig | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooks Turcotte | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Everett Botwinick | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Parker Purrington | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Iain Shand | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 4.8% |
| Asher Green | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| John Wynne | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 23.9% | 38.2% |
| Maren Behnke | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 22.4% | 42.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.